Thursday, February 17, 2011

India set to impress on World stage


India go into the 2011 ICC Cricket World Cup looking to become the pre-eminent team in world cricket in both formats.
Mahendra Singh Dhoni's men are already, of course, top dogs in Test matches - and the likeliest by-product of the global showpiece, which gets under way this weekend, is that they will depose Australia as the International Cricket Council's number one team in one-day internationals too.
It is a state of play which appears sure to prevail in the medium term in any case, and India merely have to cash in their potential to confirm themselves world-beaters on their home patch.
Their superstar line-up has all bases covered better than anyone else - as befits a cricket-crazed country populated by more than 1.15 billion.
Those basic facts and statistics dictate that the odds are stacked in the co-hosts' favour.
Nonetheless, in a format dominated for so long by Australia - winners of the last three ICC Cricket World Cups, without the help of home advantage - perhaps the biggest question mark to asterisk against India is whether the stage and occasion may yet get to them and erode their superiority.
It famously has in the past, notably at the last three ICC global tournaments - the 2007 ICC CWC in the Caribbean, 2009 World Twenty20 in England and the 2010 staging of that same event back in the West Indies.
Much soul-searching and effigy-burning has followed each of those setbacks. But with the great Sachin Tendulkar fit after his hamstring injury, a squad peopled by Virender Sehwag, Dhoni, Gautam Gambhir, Harbhajan Singh et al is studded with match-winners at every turn.
No other team can boast more than a handful, certainly not at the height of their powers - as India's best must be to stay in contention.
If there is any weakness, it is minor and relative in the seam-bowling department.
But notwithstanding the reinvention of that art in limited-overs cricket, the pace bowlers are less likely than any of their team-mates to be regular major players in a sub-continental ICC CWC.
The 2011 tournament is therefore India's to lose.
If they do miss their obvious opportunity, though, which country is best-placed to take advantage?
Australia are an unheard-of fifth in most bookmakers' lists, and deserve to be after two years of general regression, as well as a long list of injury troubles - which began with a broken finger for veteran captain Ricky Ponting.
He regained fitness in time but has to prove his form in a batting powerhouse which has been largely dormant, apart from Shane Watson. It will need a collective reawakening from the middle order if Australia are to defend their title again.
Shock bowler Shaun Tait - along with Sri Lanka's Lasith Malinga - may be capable of bucking the predicted trend of pace as a hapless force in unhelpful conditions.
Otherwise, though, it is Sri Lanka, South Africa and maybe even England - notwithstanding their 6-1 post-Ashes ODI humbling down under - who are more credible usurpers of India's birthright.
Third in the rankings, by a whisker behind India, Sri Lanka have been thought capable of following up their surprise 1996 ICC CWC victory on each occasion since. Their all-round personnel means that is true again, and this is the first time Australia are not bankers to stand in their way.
England, having won their maiden ICC trophy - the 2010 Twenty20, after 25 years of previous failure - have reason for cautious optimism.
That will be centred in their famed team spirit and meticulous planning under coach Andy Flower and captain Andrew Strauss, but tempered by the spate of injuries to potentially key players at the end of an arduous winter in Australia which has also significantly hampered their Ashes hosts.
Still, it is high time Kevin Pietersen began again to justify the esteem in which he is held. He will get no better stage to restate his claims as a world-beating batsman - and with Tim Bresnan, Graeme Swann and Stuart Broad having recovered from their injuries there is plenty of back-up nous and talent.
With the bat Ian Bell, along with an in-form Pietersen, is most likely to score at the necessary tempo.
With the ball, Mike Yardy - like the West Indies' Sulieman Benn - may prove an aggravating proposition for batsmen looking for leverage to clear the ropes.
Of the remaining Test-playing nations, previous over-achievers New Zealand, habitual under-achievers West Indies and the impossibly unpredictable and chaotic Pakistan belong in the second rank of feasible challengers.
Behind them come Bangladesh, still developing but with enough talent and home conditions to win their share, and - much further adrift - Zimbabwe.
Ireland are the obvious pick among the remaining four contenders to cause an upset, as they did more than once at the last ICC CWC.
But South Africa, whose selection of five spin options is an imaginative gamble, recently shaded a 3-2 victory over India at home appear best-equipped of all to derail the favourites.
Their batting line-up is a blend of aggressors and accumulators, who still have their place in 50-over cricket - even in a power-hitting environment like this - and much-travelled and late developing leg-spinner Imran Tahir is an intriguing new presence in an already highly-skilled bowling attack.
The ICC badly need at least a smattering of signature performances from flamboyant or emerging cricketers such as Tahir.
This tournament will still last seven weeks, including warm-ups, despite the organisers' acknowledgement that its much-maligned predecessor in the Caribbean suffered from a desultory schedule.
If the format and conditions also conspire to provide one-dimensional slog/spinfests, those who deride 50-over cricket will have more ammunition.
The optimistic forecast nonetheless is that individual and collective talent will shine through sufficiently, particularly for India.

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